What is the Holdover Ban-Risk Index?

A source-backed editorial dataset that scores Canadian-market firearms by current status, policy exposure, action, features, lineage, and source trail.

Is the Ban-Risk Index legal advice?

No. It is editorial analysis and a source map. Use current official RCMP, Public Safety Canada, Justice Canada, and Canada Gazette sources for authoritative status.

How often is the Ban-Risk Index updated?

Holdover updates the index when source material, classification status, compensation data, or scoring evidence changes. Each entry carries a last-scored date.

Canadian Firearms Ban-Risk Index

A searchable Holdover estimate of how exposed Canadian-market firearms are to future prohibitions. Sort by Ban-Risk score, status, action, and model.

Search a Canadian-market firearm and see how exposed it looks to the next prohibition push - current status plus a forward-looking Holdover score.

Start with the score

Search first. Type a make, model, or family below. Supporting links stay close, but the tool comes first.

Amnesty update: Public Safety Canada now says the 2020, 2024, and 2025 Amnesty Orders expire 90 days after the Supreme Court of Canada renders its decision.

Methodology Sources Changelog Embed it

How to read it

Status is only half the question

Start with the official SOR lists and current FRT status for what is already prohibited. The Holdover score adds the forward-looking part: action type, calibre and format, feature set, lineage, and policy momentum.

How the score works Source trail Changelog

Tracking a firearm on this list?

The Ban-Risk Index updates as classifications, the federal compensation list, and the amended amnesty timeline change. Get those changes in The Dispatch.

Follow the Ban-Risk updates

Partner embed

Share the policy-pressure signal

CCFR is an obvious first example, but this is not meant to be exclusive. Any Canadian club, association, newsletter, retailer, or community page can carry a compact Holdover Ban-Risk module without maintaining its own dataset.

Use the snippet below. Replace your-organization with a short source name if you want referral traffic separated cleanly.

<script async src="https://app.holdover.ca/ghost/ban-risk-data-wire/embed/v1/ban-risk.js" data-ho-partner="your-organization" data-ho-theme="light" data-ho-limit="8"></script>

Preview the widget View the data feed

Every score is rounded to one of four bands: Low, Medium, High, or Already Gone. Each entry breaks the score down across five 0-3 dimensions so you can see whether the pressure comes from the action, the platform lineage, the feature set, or current policy momentum.

What the Ban-Risk score is

A scored database. Every commonly asked-about firearm on the Canadian market gets its own URL, a published score, a verdict in Holdover voice, and a transparent breakdown of the five rubric dimensions used to arrive at the band. Cited sources sit at the bottom of every entry. Editorial overrides, when used, are flagged on the score card.

What it is not

It is not the Firearms Reference Table. It is not Armalytics. It does not simply tell you what is prohibited; it tells you what Holdover estimates is likely to be targeted next, and why.

Current status and source trail

The classification field on each entry reflects current RCMP FRT status as of the entry's last-scored date. For the full trail, read how the score is calculated, see the source trail, or check the changelog for every score change since launch.